- By David M. Kinchen
Nationwide housing starts slipped 3 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 861,000 units in November, according to data released Wednesday, Dec. 19, 2012 from HUD and the U.S. Census Bureau. Meanwhile, permits for new construction — a leading indicator of future housing activity — rose to their strongest level in more than four years, with a 3.6 percent gain to 899,000 units.
“Many builders have reported improving conditions in their local housing markets and are increasingly optimistic about the spring buying season, but they are being very careful not to get ahead of demand,” observed Barry Rutenberg, chairman of the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) and a home builder from Gainesville, Fla. “Meanwhile, tight credit conditions are still the chief obstacle to a quicker recovery.”
“The starts report for November reflects a readjustment to a more sustainable level of production following significant gains in the previous two months,” said NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe. “That said, starts in this quarter are still running well ahead of the third quarter, and we are on track for a projected 25 percent improvement in housing production for all of 2012. Moreover, the fact that issuance of building permits hit its fastest rate since July of 2008 in November is indicative of the continued, modest growth that we expect to see in new-home construction through 2013.”
Single-family housing starts declined 4.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 565,000 units in November, while multifamily starts edged down 1.0 percent, to 296,000 units.
Regionally, combined single- and multifamily starts activity was mixed in November. While the Midwest and South posted respective gains of 3.3 percent and 2.9 percent, the Northeast and West posted respective declines of 5.2 percent and 19.2 percent.
Permit issuance, which can be an indicator of future building activity, rose 3.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted, annual rate of 899,000 units in November. This was due to a 10.6 percent gain to 334,000 units on the multifamily side, as single-family permits held virtually unchanged for the month, at 565,000 units. The November rate is 6.8 percent above the November 2011 estimate of 709,000.
Permits rose in all but one region in November. Gains of 8.1 percent, 2.9 percent and 5.9 percent were registered in the Midwest, South and West, respectively, while a 6.2 percent decline was registered in the Northeast.